Bitcoin price rally to $115K possible as US economic data exceeds expectations

1 day ago 1

Key takeaways:

Bitcoin investor sentiment hits a 7-month high, with a bullish pennant forecasting a rally to $115,000.
Today’s CPI print and the chance for a lower-than-expected PPI on June 12 could drive BTC price higher.

Bitcoin (BTC) price briefly rallied above $110,000 on Wednesday after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in cooler than expected at 2.4% year-over-year (forecast: 2.5%). Core CPI also beat estimates at 2.8% (forecast: 2.9%). The US Dollar Index (DXY) plummeted to 98.5, a multimonth low, with markets swiftly adjusting to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate expectations.

However, the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week remain low as headline CPI is rising again for the first time since January 2025.

The overall market sentiment around Bitcoin is bullish, and a cooler CPI print could potentially push prices to new highs above $115,000 this week. A price rally might occur on June 12, after the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data is released. The US PPI is expected to rise by 0.2% month-over-month, with the core PPI at 0.3%.

A lower-than-expected print could amplify Bitcoin’s rally by reinforcing dovish Fed expectations over the second half of 2025. A higher-than-expected PPI or a surprise macroeconomic development could lead to pullbacks.

Cointelegraph also reported that Bitcoin is closing in on a new high, buoyed by renewed optimism over a US-China trade deal announced by US President Donald Trump.

The agreement is expected to reduce macroeconomic threats that dragged BTC prices to a year-to-date low of $74,500 in April after Trump’s tariff announcements. This deal, described as “done” pending final approval, has sparked a risk-on mood, with BTC consolidating under $110,000.

Bitcoin sentiment hits 7-month high

According to data analytics platform

href="https://x.com/santimentfeed/status/1932835175638942171" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" title="https://x.com/santimentfeed/status/1932835175638942171">Santiment, BTC’s bullish sentiment reached a seven-month high, as positive social media comments, tracked across X and Reddit, have doubled negative ones since Trump’s election win in November 2024.

Cryptocurrencies, Dollar, China, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Donald Trump, Price Analysis, Market Analysis

The bullish sentiment is also reflected in BTC’s low funding rate at an all-time high price range. Crypto Trader Jacob Canfield stated,

“I honestly don't remember a time where I've seen prices going up this much and funding rates being completely flat. This usually means that the underlying rallies are mostly spot driven. Not sure how we're going to see big sell offs without high leverage in the market. Most likely this means higher.”

From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin is forming a bullish pennant on the 1-hour chart, signaling potential bullish continuation. The relative strength index (RSI) is resetting near the 50 level, indicating a healthy cooldown within a higher consolidation range. Immediate resistance lies at $110,000, but a liquidity sweep around $108,000 could occur first, clearing late long orders and absorbing sell-side liquidity to fuel further upside.

The pennant’s measured move projects a bullish target of $115,000, aligning with the upper trendline extension. Additional price support lies at $106,748, with a break below risking a drop to $104,900. A swift recovery from this drop could enhance BTC’s upside potential, but BTC must maintain a bullish close on the higher time chart.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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